Dienstag, 29. Dezember 2009

Reading God's Mind

So after all theory and conceptual possibilities, scientists are doing what they do best.......confirming it by experiment.

Only it takes 20 years and nearly 10 billion dollars to set-up the most advanced experiment ever conceived via Large Hadron Collider..

Least we expect is the confirmation of Higgs particle, any journey beyond quark begins from.

Beyond this will be revealation on Dark matter, extra dimensions, string theory (which one out of theoretical million postulates) etc etc. All this with 1.0×10-9 grams of H2 at near absolute zero temperature.

Will they generate black hole, will it consume us..though scientists are unanimous in opinions against it, it will still be better to die wiser....

Freitag, 25. Dezember 2009

The seers who saw it coming

Quite befitting to retract my harping on failure of so called wise men.....

Madman who was a Prophet.

Probably knowledge is meant to be obscure. Even in the current information-age, so much of noise around doesn't help.

To give due credit, most government in recent crisis adopted Keynesian policies(stimulus) and it worked indeed. This is an open debate though, whether recent recession would have been more severe in absence of such measures. Also where is the reconciliation between Adam Smith's invisible hand (policies of Laissez Faire) and heavily employed mechanism of: 'Lender of Last Resort'. Further fuelling the fire is the blame: are some too big to fail.

Still, public fury notwithstanding, probably the likes of Goldman Sachs would have done equally well without Government Funding.

FT Man of the year

Further a good read on how crisis was weathered: Here

Donnerstag, 17. Dezember 2009

Blue Ocean/Red Ocean

Blue Ocean has apparently caught Strategist's mind too..here

Obviously being Whale is better than to be Piranha. Work on your strength peacefully, become big and royal, far away for bloody competitions.....

But soon there will be challengers to attack your territory and then fight you must. Still isn't life the best at the highest order of food chain, like: Steinadler.

Freitag, 11. Dezember 2009

Economics-Imperfect Science

Adam Smith's invisible hand to Keynesian play with Interest rates (liquidity preference). Friedman's dichotomy and still we had decade long Japan's deflation and then recent crisis.

Another root-cause identified for recent crisis..... Was it just one thing....

Why there is always so much of post-facto wisdom. Isn't true knowledge:
1) Can justify past
2) Could predict future(atleast a little)

Should I unlearn what they taught me in science.....Are all nobel-prizes in economics going in vain.......

Samstag, 7. November 2009

BMW: Leipzig


Had a visit to the BMW factory and was wowed by it. Though they manufacture only 1 series (3 door) and 3 series car here. And boy, 1 series far exceeded my expectation..

Quite clean process...how to make car manufacturing easy...from metal sheeet to car body to paint shop (3 layers of paint), then 'marriage' of car body to engine, just in time, just in sequence. The clean process was also testified by a colleague who has earlier worked for Toyota, saying they were rather crowded. The final relish was having a seat on 1x red cnvertible....I felt like a baby given a new toy...

Leipzig city itself has own rich history..quite merchantile and now German government is trying to restore its old glory. It looked somewhat similar to Belgium rather than a German city..the university centre was impressive. Interesting stories, how a church survive 2nd world war bombings but not communists' dynamite..people's peaceful resistance..place of Bach's romance etc etc....

Now this is the place of Carbon Credit trade in Germany which smells of some 90 billion euro across europe.

Sonntag, 27. September 2009

Perfect Outsourcing

A coutry can do nothing and still remain at top for ever.

For simplification of argument let's say a developed conutry decides that its citizens need not work at all, except to be at (probably) management position. Work will be done by inviting all the third world laborers. This will work.

Now a citizen needs food, cloth, home, luxury etc. To cater one citizen of country A, say 5 third world laborers are working in that country. Also assume, every laborer gets decent salary (so that best of the people at third world coutries vie to come to country A), but never a citizenship(understandable). A typical income-tax on country A is 33%. Say in the perfect scenario, this tax is routed as social-security for its citizen. So 5 laborers will provide the citizen not only only as good as 100% of their salary (which should be less than 100% because earning citizen will also have to pay some tax), but also 66% extra, besides producing all that citizen needs.

So country A:
1) Gets everything done for its citizen who need not do anything for living
2) Gets an extra income in its treasury, equal to 66% of the one person's salary, much more than what if everyone of its citizen would have worked and paid taxes.

Say if all the people are from same 3rd world country B, then B gets:
1) Income not by tax (because single taxation allows tax at location i.e to country A only) but by percolation/spill effects i.e if these laborers return home and spend on things at home country.
2) Still aspire to become next best i.e number 2 position.
3) It will still be a lucrative option, to monopolize the service industry otherwise there are others to offer services


The basic assumption is that following is ruled out:
1) Idle people at country A lose competency(with technological advances etc) to stay at top. Country B becomes assertive and after becoming number 2, forcefully acquires the number 1 position.

Now to calculate odds of the above risk.....
Say all salaries are equal. Per citizen A has more than 66% of salary (assuming the citizen consumes the whole of their 100%) that it needs to plough back to retain its competency (R&D, Buy-outs, creating rivals for B etc). Wait, even 100% salary that A's citizen is earning is after his requirements are fulfilled by the work of 5 laborers(i.e for free). Per citizen B has less than 66% salaries (assuming they use whole of their after-tax salary for home-country-economy).

Chinese must surely have thought about this.

India among most corrupt nations

Is the corruption, symbol of dynamism. Read this article.

India is stated to be one of the most corrupt countries, Germany is one of the least. On saturday session, on 45 minutes lunch break just went to a restaurant (one of the very few open), wanted to grab something quick, odered menu like cake and coffee, potato soup, sandwiches, chocolate shake and reminded the guy 10 times that the time for us is short. But time it took. Good 30 minutes after we placed order.

Now to reassess corruption et al in India. 1st, there will be no dearth of options of eateries on weekends and 2nd they will be quick to make 'Jugad' if requested. Another similar example is bargain, a true delight for a shopper, something unheard in this part of world.


Isn't one reason of corruption is originating from 'Jugad' that we enterprisingly make which is mis-understoood to be against the rule-book. In case of bargain, if the shop keeper sold me a book at Rs 100/- and to my another friend bough the same in Rs 80/-, I will feel cheated. But how many of us complain if Thanksgiving price is 80$ and the same if purchased in Christmas reaches 100$ at big superstores. Is it by the psychology that randomness is painful, organised is beauty.

Not an excuse, just I am not sure if such factors are assessed and if to improve our ranking, we might lose on some of our beauty with randomness.

Freitag, 11. September 2009

Asta la Vista

Time to be self indulgent...last day in London, importantly last day of a phase...have quit everything for an utopia. Tomorrow I begin a new phase, off to Berlin to be younger as a student, old of so many things and independent of time as a lover.

All for that knowledge, to justify event(present)/past, to predict forthcoming. True sciences -physics/chemistry/biology - do so, social sciences don't. (Was Jesus the most knowledgeable person who besides telling stories(past) could predict own death).

Engineering and MBA are the disciplines, try to build/maintain something. The knowledge no doubt is a mandatory component and should be streaming always.

Am I trying to be emotional....am I good at it...do emotions catalyze (positively/negatively), are there good-bad emotions...immediate thing is packing my bags, no time for emotions then.....

Montag, 31. August 2009

Caledonia: Land of Ben, Glen. Loch and Whiskey


Romans named Caledonia to what is today Scotland....Scots always kept a little independent attitude from England. That's why there is England team(Cricket, Football, Rugby) and then there is another for Scotland..even the tour guide while showing the Edinburgh Rugby ground proudly claimed that they defeated English for last two years.
Ben is mountain and Ben Nevis is highest in Scotland, with hardly ca 1344 m to its credit. Fort William is close by and the whole area is still used for Military training especially for SAS: British Commandos.
The short height of Scottish highland is attributed to massive wear and tear in ice-age. It is said till 10000 years ago it was lying under 1000m of ice layer. Pity that there is hardly any place of good ski with very short ski-duration wheresoever left today. So not the height but the curved peaks and the marks of glacier, not to mention astounding flora and fauna are reasons of must go here. This is an ideal place of long walk but beware of midges.
High-land speciality food is Haggis, which was not bad and they have Yak like hairy cow Hamish.
Scotland stands on matrix of fault lines and eartquakes are relatively frequent. The Atlantic pierces the land quite deep and sometimes it is hard to identify whether it is a sea or a Loch(Lake).
Now Loch Ness is one of the most beautiful lakes. Another reason of its fame is Nessie, a monster said to be living here and sighted by a few. Discovery has even put Sonar equipments on the tourist boats regularly plying here.
There is high-land, there is low-land. William Wallace was a high-lander. Unlike Mel Gibson (under 6'), Mr. Wallace was around 6'7'' tall. The Wallace monument at Castle of Sterling has statue of Mel Gibson at the bottom. And word 'brave-heart' is not associated with William Wallace, but with his successor Robert the Bruce(a low-lander, who are considered more suave and hence often at English bestowed high positions), who participated in crusades and wanted his heart to be buried in Holy Land. But since Holy Land was under capture of opponents, his followers could reach only till little distance away and then threw his heart saying 'there goes the Brave Heart'. However one dialog in the movie is quite genuine; 'How can I be traitor to king, whereas I had no King'.
Glen is valley, Glen Coe being one of the most famous ones. It is perfectly U shape with Loch Leven adding to its beauty. Now this beautiful valley has seen massacres of McDonalds by their guests Campbells. It is more disgusting that this clan fighting was at the insistence of common enemy- the king of England. Divide and Rule was English policy not just for India. Another famous dialogue from Braveheart: 'the problem with Scotland is that there are so many scots. Some hotels in Glen Coe area have put signs: 'No Campbell allowed.'
There is lot of peat, water is black (and same coming out of tab is not necessarily bad) and the local whiskey is acidic: Strong, Smokey etc. Common complaints of local distillery are MNCs, big gobbling up small. For connoisseurs, it is loss of subtle variations of many local varieties (water and produce of barley) because big industries produce at mass-scale. Drink whiskey the Scottish way. Only single malt not the blended. Drop water to 1/10th of whiskey. It breaks the oil and induces the right flavour. Contrary to popular belief (at least popular where I grew up), whiskey is taken at room temperature. Whiskey on rocks is the dialog of a stylish moron. Sacrilegious to ask Soda and asking coke along with would be sheer blasphemy.

Sonntag, 23. August 2009

Vereinigte Koennigreich


So there are 3 conutries in the Island: England, Wales and Scotland (with offshore British Isles)...together making Britain...add Northern Ireland and this makes United Kingdom. Also Ireland is separate nation too and people quite resent their northern territory occupied by UK. Scots and Welsh don't like themselves being called English. Welsh have their own language too, however Scots have been more freedom-minded. A case exemplified by recent Lockerbie bomber's release. Nevertheless quite famous English personalities are from these regions: Sir Arthur Conan Doyle of Sherlock Holmes and Sean Connery of James Bond fame were Scots. The Prince of Wales is only a customary designation given to eldest son of King of England, certainly the fact not pleasing to Welsh.
It took me 6 months of stay in London to understand all this. Hardly 3 weeks left and I have never gone beyond London...next is long weekend and I should go either Lake District (of William Wordsworth fame) or Wales or Scotland or stay back here do pub scrawling.

Montag, 17. August 2009

End of World: 2012

Lots of prophecies for world ending in 2012 and today my co-passenger in the bus said about this, London will not see 2012 Olympics...I promised her I will call her ($$&&^&&£!^(*) in beginning of Olympics.

Now now Maya calendar has concrete dates (21-24th December, 2012) and rest all seem to be fictitious. A movie too is getting released sometimes late this year, probaly the hero will be moses of 2012.

For my point of view, if it really happens and a few survive then none of them will be atheist or agnostic any more. Can this become self fulilling prophecy. Not likely.....rather such threats will create less chaos and more peace(subsiding little of existing ones). Who will want to do misdeeds before facing His judgement.The religious people will becme more religious. Non religious ones will be anxious, a few of them will re-convert, most of them will ignore(also many religious people).

Likely scenario:
1) Environment is worsening year after year with unheard type of calamities frequently coming. Any large scale calamity at near about said duration will be treated as such. But to justify the prediction, it has to be atleast as big as to kill a large proportion of humans. Even 10% of world's population makes 8 billions and no calamity has ever touched 1 billion record.
Now environment changes might create new varieties of virus. It is said they evolve in 25 years so much so what it took humans to evolve from monkeys till date. Will there be new black death, H1N1 flu, or some other virus will make zombie out of us......

2) Nuclear wars: they can kill in billions. One or many of India-Pakistan-China-America-Russia etc. But precisely in that year. Actually it can happen any year. All the indians and chinese dead will still leave world with 5 billion out of ca 8 billions today, certainly not all of them worth living. Though nuclear war might precipitate global effects which can certainly make above prediction true. So this is worth the thought. Rekindle the India-China-Pakistan bhai-bhai thoughts. But what to do about terrorists with atom bomb, will they take command of Russian (America, China less likely) core system and shoot in all direction. Naah...but what to do if God has already decided.

The any or all of above can be true any time. Hopefully this rumour make people spiritual and peaceful. But then naysayerswill be active after 2012 bringing us back to square one. Better still would be to know if we will be alive even till then....

14/11: On the positive note, found this today: http://www.idiva.com/bin/idiva/At-worlds-end-maybe-not

Samstag, 8. August 2009

What is troubling...

Liked the theme of the book, what is trouble with Physics (lee samolin), that the knowledge is what:
1) can explain any event(past or existing)
2) can predict an event in future, in terms of guiding new experiment or explaining undiscovered/unexplained phenomenon.

So string theory (if there is one, out of theoretically 10**500 possible solutions) which has preoccupied physicists for last 25 years, so far hasn't succeeded on 2nd account. Mathematics is considered elementary of all of basic sciences: Physics, Chemistry, now Biology too. But nature even at cosmic level doesn't seem to follow exact mathematics. For example, expansion of universe has no symmetric geometry, it is apparently skewed at one end. What is another end which is it running from? Another universe/s!!!
With recent financial crisis, the same questions are raised for Economists too. Other branches of study, sociology, Psychology etc; anyways struggle to justify themselves as the true sciences.

Is this the end of ever expansive human knowledge? Certainly not. Is there a bigger problem, Americanism? I just pointed out to one friend that late 19th century to 1st half of 20th century, most of the nuclear physicsts and sociologists hailed from Germany. He quipped, today most of them are from America. Is current American way of doing science (institutionalizing them with businesses and universities), is detrimental to new inventions, free thinking etc.....

Now this is venturing into one of the most active political debate.....

Samstag, 1. August 2009

Lady power

World may or may not be ruled by geeks but surely the end rulers will be queens.......If I meet a woman, I am disadvantaged in terms of spending.....then they demand things and will have priority say on conflicting options. I am deeply affected because next one year for me is economically tight (going back to school) with lots of uncertainty these days.

Do they influence on account of their sex, prostitution being just an overt form of this. But influence they do and sometimes in an unimaginative way. Consider who rule more absolutely than queen bee does. Heard of that female spider eating male after mating (link).

Hell hath no fury like a woman scorn.

On positive side, do they make effective rulers.... Arguably the credit of bringing stability to UK after dark middle ages goes to Elizabeth 1. Victorian period in 19th is considered the golden period for the same country. Angela Merkel is sometimes revered as much as Mutti Merkel. Who can forget Indira Gandhi in India who brought one of the most glorious victories for India, detonated nation's first Atom Bomb, single handedly took on whole of opposition and had the temerity to take Sikh separaists head on at their most sacred religious place.

Samstag, 18. Juli 2009

Age of Kali

4 Yug(Ages): Sat-yug, Treta-yug, Dwapar-yug, Kali-yug. It is said brahmins rule the Satyug, warriors rule at Treta, businessmen rule and Dwapar and lowly class rule at Kali. Digging deeper, isn't it true that earlier religions ruled the world, followed by warriors and then buisnessmen and now with democracy plebian are ruling the world.
Make science as the new religion and combination of quartet of Science/power/economy/democracy; make successful empires.
Isn't earlier UK and now US exactly exemplify this. USSR didn't last long being strong on science and power only. With Science, Power and booming economy China is poised to be next superpower, but it lacks democracy. India shows mixed signs on all four and it would be interesting to witness the turn of time for India as a nation......

Samstag, 4. Juli 2009

Wine, Women and Cheese

One friend advised here, enjoy Europe with its wine, women and cheese. I am still stuck with first only.

Not so many friends around and I am practicing telepathic shouts.

Nice dialogoues always catch attention. Followings about alcohol:
1) Beer is the biggest proof that God loves us all.
2) Reality is an illusion when not under influence of alocohol.
3) Cocktail and revolution, both straighten the men till the next.

And, following some more:
1) Aerosmith's How are you: I am FINE: Fucked up, Insecure, Neurotic, Emotional.
3) Do you like sex? Yes. Do You like travel? Yes. Then, Fuck Off....

One sombre note:
Fools and fanatics are always certain of themselves, but wiser people are full of doubts.

Then why confidence to the level of hubris is such a sought after trait.

Sonntag, 18. Januar 2009

Girlfriend a must

I am floored when after watching Ghajini my girlfriend remarked, that I look better than Amir Khan.

I think everybody must have a girlfriend.